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폴란드 원자력: 폴란드에 원자로를 가져오는 방법 (Nuclear Poland: How to bring reactors to Poland

2023-12-13

국내외 전문자료

폴란드 원자력: 폴란드에 원자로를 가져오는 방법 (Nuclear Poland: How to bring reactors to Poland

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폴란드 원자력: 폴란드에 원자로를 가져오는 방법 (Nuclear Poland: How to bring reactors to Poland

본 보고서의 목적은 2040년까지 폴란드의 원자력 발전의 현재 가능성과 방향을 분석하는 것입니다. 이 보고서는 폴란드의 원자력 투자 계획 규모에 따라 취해야 할 일련의 조치와 분석을 제시합니다.

The development of nuclear power is the subject of public debate in Poland. It is one of the strategic directions and goals of Polish energy policy, and potentially a vehicle for the country’s civilisational development. Implementing nuclear energy today seems essential for Poland to avoid an electricity supply gap and meet European climate goals. Preparations for the construction of nuclear reactors have been ongoing for decades. The delays so far have been mainly due to the scale and cost of the investments, which were too difficult for the Polish economy to bear, and the inadequacy of the economic, legal and social environment for such activities. Today, the dynamic development of nuclear power in Poland is now possible, but due to the international as well as the economic situation, it must be accelerated. The question is how to carry out this process optimally. The aim of this report is to analyse the current possibilities and directions of nuclear power development in Poland up to 2040. It presents a set of actions that need to be taken, depending on the planned scale of Poland’s nuclear investment, as well as an analysis of their nature and importance. The report consists of three sections. The first examines the current status of Poland’s preparations for the construction of nuclear reactors. We also present the activities undertaken to date in this direction, and those planned for the future. The second section discusses the determinants of nuclear power development in Poland: technological, economic, legal, environmental and social. Understanding these makes it possible to identify bottlenecks in the development of nuclear power, and to look for solutions for the future. The authors of this part of the report are recognised authorities in their fields, who have additionally provided practical recommendations for Poland for the future. In the third section, we present three likely scenarios for the development of nuclear power in Poland, depending on its scale and pace: minimum, balanced, and nuclearisation of Poland. The implementation of each of these is analysed in terms of the prospects arising from the conditions discussed in the second section, and the actions to be taken in the financial, human resources, legal, social and technological-environmental aspects. Regardless of the scenario, one conclusion is consistent: whatever challenges the development of nuclear power poses, it requires the initiative and commitment of the government, public entities, but also private businesses, who, alongside citizens, will be the biggest beneficiaries of the reactors.